金价寻得支撑?下周美联储决议有望助力黄金多头!_市场新闻_汇选
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金价从技术支撑水平起的复苏在1767美元一线下方仍然脆弱;下周四即将公布的美联储利率决议有望为金价的持续反弹提供支撑。
金价自技术支撑反弹后,本周尝试突破3周以来的跌幅,金价录得接近1%的涨幅。然而,这波复苏可能是短暂的,下周美联储利率决议当前,更为广泛的风险仍倾向于面临下行压力。
值得注意的是,笔者在上个月的黄金周度展望一文中指出,黄金“跌破一个月前开始的关键支撑汇集的区域,未来一周的风险仍倾向于在这一区间下方持续下行。”当时笔者关注的区间是1763/67(由2020年交易区间的50%斐波回撤水平以及8月跌幅的61.8%斐波回撤水平构成)。周线收盘于2月收盘水平下方,使得支撑汇集区域“1682/89即2015年涨幅的38.2%斐波回撤水平/2020年交易区间的61.8%斐波回撤水平”成为市场关注的焦点。金价本周短暂录得1767的低点,随后反弹走高——金价后市将如何变动?
初步阻力位于月度开盘水平1734美元,接着是1763/67附近。最终突破站上1800美元附近的曾被强调过的趋势汇集区域,才可能再度转向更为广泛的上升趋势。金价跌破这一区域将使得更为重要的支撑区域100%斐波延展1649一线受到关注,届时若金价触及这一区域,则可能出现下行动能耗尽的现象。
综上所述,金价的跌势目前正在对首个主要斐波支撑汇集区域做出反应。从交易的角度来看,若金价触及1767一线,则需关注可能出现的上行动能放缓的迹象。若金价确实走低并跌破周线低点,则将使得金价有望触及更为广泛的上行支撑1649一线。点击笔者上周的黄金展望文章,以便获取其他的重要支撑和阻力水平。投资者需要关注下周将公布的美联储利率决议,市场或将密切关注最新的季度前瞻预测,其中将对经济增长、就业和通胀的预期进行更新。届时市场有望大幅波动,请对此保持密切关注。
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